Hard to tell NHP. I know that at about that stage, I had a lot of native hair growing back, some of which had shed following the transplant....that stage where it looks worse before it gets better. It seems that it would be really early for transplanted hairs to be growing. I say my first transplanted hairs starting to come out at about 8 weeks which is considered really early. Like you said, it is good either way because you have hairs growing out No doubt you are on the upswing now!