Dear Dr. Parsley,
I tried the microscope test you suggested today. It's definitely a case of miniaturization. Now, the surgeon (a colleague recommended by this site) wants to transplant from front to back (leaving the crown alone), going through a thin front, a 3 inch bridge that is miniaturized to notice it has thinned but is still "cosmetically dense" (you can't see the scalp there at all), and a very thin top. The doctor would be transplanting through the bridge. I had just started Propecia, and the doctor made no mention of Rogaine. When asked if I should be on it, the surgeon I saw didn't think it was important.
Based on what you've said, I feel stuck between a rock and a hard place. If I lose the hair I do have from permanent shock loss, then a transplant will be as you said, three steps forward but two steps back. For me, as for a lot of people, one step forward for this kind of money when three steps are possible is a tough pill to swallow. If I don't have the transplant, well, I stay unhappily where I am (not too many people happy with their situation post on these boards, as you can tell). I can stay on Propecia and hope to stay where I am, but even if I regrow a little, I'm still a 4V. Maybe you think one of the concealer products like Toppik would be the best solution?
Quickly on the idea of a shock loss study, Limmer's article on density as you recall describes a number of different hair counts. Even without a hair count, I would imagine you don't have to do an actual hair count to see if there was significant shock. If they have been on Propecia or Rogaine or both and have stabilized their loss, if they lose hair from a transplant that does not return, I would imagine you could tell they'd suffered shock loss and maybe you and other doctors could identify specific trends (like how miniaturized the hair would have to be in order to be permanently lost). If some trands have been identified, they don't seem to be reliable indicators because you say shock loss is so unpredictable.
This is rather troublesome for a lot of men I suppose. You go to a surgeon to restore hair but find out you will need more hair transplanted than the hair you needed to fill in the thinned out areas. Sort of like when you take your car into an auto shop and they make more work for you than you originally needed. I'm of course not suggesting that
HT doctors are happy about shock loss, but the analogy (I hope) illustrates the intense frustration the issue presents given the inability to really nail it down and eliminate it.
At any rate, I hope this provides some food for both thought and study. I don't know what to do. I first thought a transplant could just fill in the areas that were badly thinned out in the front and toward the back of the top. I didn't realize that I might have to be transplanted as if I had already lost hair I still had.
Dr. P and other posters, I'd welcome any suggestions on what to do. I won't hold any of you to your suggestions. And of course, those like Jeff who have similar issues, keep us all posted on your progress.
-AP